Core reminder: China will usher in a great era of new energy vehicle development. In 2015, it may continue the rapid growth trend of 2014 and maintain a growth of 2-3 times year-on-year. It is expected that the production and sales volume in 2015 will reach 150,000 to 200,000 vehicles.

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On December 20th, at the "* China New Energy Vehicle Consumption Summit Forum" hosted by the Economic Observer in Beijing, officials, experts, and auto company leaders in the new energy industry discussed the current general trend of new energy vehicle consumption. Officials, experts and leaders of new energy vehicle companies at the meeting agreed that China will usher in a great era of new energy vehicle development. In 2015, it may continue the rapid growth trend of 2014 and maintain a growth of 2-3 times year-on-year. It is expected in 2015 The production and sales volume will reach 150,000 to 200,000 vehicles.

2015 production outlook

Zhang Yong, deputy general manager of BAIC New Energy, is more optimistic. He believes that the development of new energy vehicles in China will soon have a tipping point. A certain amount will lead to geometric growth. This tipping point he predicts will come between 2016-2018.

Xu Xiaogui, director of electric vehicle marketing of Dongfeng Nissan's Venucia Division, said that the national policy intensively introduced in 2014 will continue to ferment in the new energy vehicle consumer market in 2015. He expects that sales in 2015 will be 2-3 times that of 2014, and Dongfeng Nissan Venues has also made a lot of preparations for it. In 2015, the main launch of Venucia Chenfeng pure electric vehicles. It has a brother model abroad called the Nissan Leaf, which is the world’s most-selling pure electric vehicle. The Leaf has been on the market for more than four years and has been fully tested by the market. He predicts that the Leaf will also perform well in 2015.

Zhu Jun, deputy director of SAIC Passenger Vehicle Technology Center, said that it should be easier for China's new energy vehicle sales to increase by 2-3 times in 2015. From the perspective of SAIC Motor alone, due to capacity constraints, only about 2,000 Roewe E550 plug-in hybrid vehicles were sold in 2014, but there will be big moves next year. The fuel consumption of new models launched in 2015 will increase from 2.3 liters/ The 100km drop to 1.6L/100km, and there are many other improvements. The price remains unchanged. It is conservatively expected that orders for this model will exceed 10,000 in 2015.

Ren Yong, general manager of Changan New Energy Automobile Co., Ltd., believes that the sales of new energy vehicles in 2015 may be in the range of 100,000 to 200,000 units. Many consumers are hesitant to choose new energy vehicles. He said that Changan has actually developed electric vehicles many years ago, but in line with the principle of hard training, it has been continuously engaged in research and development and testing over the years, and strives to launch the best products. Changan Yidong pure electric vehicle is currently ready, with a battery life of about 160 kilometers, and will be officially released next month.

Ms. Gu Yu, director of the electric vehicle business development and operation department of BMW Group Greater China, said that she also believes that there will be a 2-3 times growth in 2015. After the launch of BMW's current i3, i8, and the market, the market has responded very well. In January 2015, BMW will release the BMW 5 series plug-in hybrid electric vehicle-BMW Brilliance 530le.

Ms. Jin Jun, Tesla's global vice president, is also full of confidence in the volume, because the annual car user satisfaction survey recently released by the US "Consumer Report" shows that Tesla's consumers are more satisfied with electric vehicles than traditional cars. . Next year, Tesla will mainly promote Model S P85D and Model X pure electric SUVs. In the future, Model Ⅲ will be launched. The price will be reduced by half. At that time, Tesla will also "fly into the homes of ordinary people."

2015 policy outlook

Regarding the 2015 policy, the guests at the meeting expressed that they must maintain the stability and continuity of the policy. Fluctuations or changes in the technical route will hinder the development of new energy vehicles. Secondly, the construction of charging facilities is now the key to promoting new energy vehicles, and the government should do more in infrastructure construction. In addition, everyone believes that local monopolies must be broken so that new energy vehicles can develop better as a unified market.

Wang Binggang said that hybrid vehicles are now excluded from new energy vehicles. Plug-in hybrid vehicles, as a type of new energy vehicles, require the government to be more tolerant. The road for energy vehicles will become narrower and narrower.

Zhu Jun called on the forum: "We hope that all localities can break local protectionism, so that new energy vehicles can be used in more and more places. We also hope that the government will introduce more measures in the use of new energy vehicles, so that New energy vehicles have more convenient conditions to use, so that consumers can feel more and more convenient after choosing new energy vehicles."

Xu Xiaogui pointed out that many new energy vehicle pilot cities have not yet introduced specific subsidy rules. Next year will be one year after the pilot promotion. If the promotion subsidy policies of these cities can be implemented as soon as possible, it will better drive consumers to buy new energy. The passion of the car.

Both Ms. Jin Jun and Gu Yu believe that the construction of charging facilities has indeed encountered a bottleneck. This process involves many links such as power grids, local governments, and real estate. It may be difficult to coordinate the interests of multiple parties by relying on enterprises alone. Therefore, they believe that if the local government can introduce some methods to assess the property, the promotion of charging facilities will also be an assessment task, so that the property will be more positive in promoting the construction of charging facilities.

Ren Yong said that the 2014 policy is very intensive, and may not be too intensive in 2015, but the continuity and stability of a policy should be maintained. In addition, local protection is now a very common problem. Many local governments overprotect local enterprises. This is not conducive to the formation of a unified national market and the cultivation of new energy vehicle companies with certain influence in the early stage of the development of new energy vehicles.